Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 43.495511 51.238099 59.708872 69.631489 80.901683 93.269550 107.832647
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 31.755034 41.993742 54.268910 69.925861 89.207555 112.010875 140.837142
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 25.282186 36.618405 51.205430 71.039195 96.950509 129.269093 172.190123
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 18.844892 29.736404 44.701053 66.260243 95.936866 134.700020 188.389820
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 16.143730 27.346705 43.585829 68.089011 103.229926 150.794068 218.813498
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 13.409089 24.356702 41.073045 67.434906 106.725163 161.687085 242.616815
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 12.378950 23.810667 42.018185 71.761238 117.453803 183.029545 281.783064
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.864692 20.359548 37.954491 67.934835 115.668360 186.251186 295.343180
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.925720 19.476885 37.889494 70.298010 123.318033 203.497901 329.843640
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.502607 19.462014 39.249539 75.040076 134.929089 227.186870 374.883147
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.735859 18.652828 39.101068 77.176714 142.425134 244.904363 411.687460
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.888012 17.532484 38.238870 77.951797 147.658447 259.278551 443.930900
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.662639 15.508424 35.653777 75.824545 148.571841 268.003880 469.755109
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.852098 14.247372 34.404389 76.070546 153.706794 284.069701 508.450933
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.250919 13.335982 33.713197 77.257845 160.533060 303.244693 553.050029
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.255884 11.176445 30.031462 72.127664 155.405524 301.920195 563.960844
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.919010 10.669328 29.889241 74.090942 163.535508 323.660318 614.122014
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.467290 9.712011 28.554346 73.388761 166.478471 336.430433 649.645824
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.364642 9.776092 29.661754 78.031624 180.130666 368.870938 720.219478
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.851559 8.385575 26.946079 73.925434 176.058229 369.092936 734.861163
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.698973 8.154332 27.159091 76.461704 185.598488 394.667519 795.081207
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.656846 8.307911 28.418475 81.548245 200.727330 431.291946 876.329112
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.514144 8.046332 28.501910 83.838903 210.116405 457.526582 939.873691